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UFC · UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal

Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas

Filho, Jafel Filho, Jafel 1.30
VS
Sun, Apr 26
04:00 CET
Rocha, Lucas Rocha, Lucas 3.30
Win Probability implied from market odds
71.7%
Filho, Jafel
1.30
28.3%
Rocha, Lucas
3.30

Filho, Jafel are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Rocha, Lucas (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 3.30 odds. If you bet $100 on Rocha, Lucas you can win $$330.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Filho, Jafel (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.30. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $130.00.

Betting Prediction

Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas Prediction & Betting Tips | UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Mixed Martial Arts

Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas – UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Match Prediction

UFC | UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal | Mixed Martial Arts

Ahead of this UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas.

Outcome: Filho, Jafel Win | Probability: 71.7

Outcome: Rocha, Lucas Win | Probability: 28.3

In this format there is no draw — one side will win.

Who Is Favoured between Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas?

Our model gives Filho, Jafel the clear edge in this Mixed Martial Arts matchup, with a 71.7 probability of victory. Rocha, Lucas come in at 28.3 — a genuine chance, and one that reflects a competitive fixture even if the numbers favour their opponents.

With no draw possible in this format, the gap between these two sides is brought into sharper focus. Filho, Jafel's 71.7 rating represents a meaningful but not overwhelming advantage — this is not a foregone conclusion.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal Mixed Martial Arts fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, offensive and defensive output metrics, player and roster availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Filho, Jafel's 71.7 reflects an overall stronger statistical profile heading into this matchup. However, with Rocha, Lucas at 28.3, the gap is narrow enough to make an upset entirely plausible.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas: Filho, Jafel to win is the percentage-backed selection at 71.7 and represents the straightforward model play. Rocha, Lucas at 28.3 offers potential value as the underdog, particularly if the odds available overstate the gap between the two sides.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Filho, Jafel vs Rocha, Lucas

Sport: Mixed Martial Arts

Country: UFC

League: UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal

Favourite: Filho, Jafel (71.7)

Underdog: Rocha, Lucas (28.3)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

186

1 1.30
2 3.30