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New Zealand · Chatham Cup

Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC

Nelson Suburbs FC Nelson Suburbs FC 2.56
VS
Sun, Jul 26
03:30 CET
draw
3.90
Auckland United FC Auckland United FC 2.22
Win Probability implied from market odds
35.6%
Nelson Suburbs FC
2.56
23.4%
Draw
3.90
41%
Auckland United FC
2.22

Auckland United FC are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 3.90 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$390.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Auckland United FC (Away team) is the safest option with odds at 2.22. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $222.00.

Betting Prediction

Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC Prediction & Betting Tips | Chatham Cup Soccer

Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC – Chatham Cup Match Prediction

New Zealand | Chatham Cup | Soccer

Ahead of this Chatham Cup fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC.

Outcome: Nelson Suburbs FC Win | Probability: 35.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.4

Outcome: Auckland United FC Win | Probability: 41.0

Who Is Favoured between Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC?

Our model points to Auckland United FC as the stronger side heading into this Soccer fixture, with a 41.0 probability of taking the win. Nelson Suburbs FC are rated at 35.6 as the home side looking to cause an upset, while a 23.4 chance of a draw keeps the outcome genuinely open.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.4 is considered {draw_label} — suggesting this fixture has a reasonable chance of a decisive result, though neither outcome is guaranteed.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Chatham Cup Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Auckland United FC's 41.0 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. However, Nelson Suburbs FC's 35.6 probability is a genuine reflection of their ability to compete — upsets are a regular feature of Chatham Cup Soccer, and this match is no exception.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC: Auckland United FC to win is the percentage-backed selection at 41.0. The draw at 23.4 may offer value in a match where both sides are capable of cancelling each other out. Nelson Suburbs FC at 35.6 is the longshot play, but not one without merit depending on the available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary

Match: Nelson Suburbs FC vs Auckland United FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: New Zealand

League: Chatham Cup

Favourite: Auckland United FC (41.0)

Draw Chance: 23.4

Underdog: Nelson Suburbs FC (35.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 2.56
X 3.90
2 2.22

11

2 1.71
1 1.95

10

9 1.60
10 1.22
11 1.45