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Uruguay · Primera Division

CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC

CA Penarol Montevideo CA Penarol Montevideo 1.49
VS
Sun, Jul 26
23:30 CET
draw
3.90
Cerro Largo FC Cerro Largo FC 6.20
Win Probability implied from market odds
61.6%
CA Penarol Montevideo
1.49
23.5%
Draw
3.90
14.8%
Cerro Largo FC
6.20

CA Penarol Montevideo are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Cerro Largo FC (Away team) odds offer the highest possible win at 6.20 odds. If you bet $100 on Cerro Largo FC you can win $$620.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on CA Penarol Montevideo (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 1.49. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $149.00.

Betting Prediction

CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC Prediction & Betting Tips | Primera Division Soccer being played on Sunday, Jul 26 at 23:30

CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC – Primera Division Match Prediction

Uruguay | Primera Division | Soccer

Ahead of this Primera Division fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC.

Outcome: CA Penarol Montevideo Win | Probability: 61.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 23.5

Outcome: Cerro Largo FC Win | Probability: 14.8

Who Is Favoured between CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC?

Our model gives CA Penarol Montevideo the edge in this Soccer match, with a 61.6 probability of claiming all three points. Cerro Largo FC are rated as the underdog at 14.8, while there remains a 23.5 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Soccer, a draw probability of 23.5 is considered {draw_label}. Despite CA Penarol Montevideo holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for Primera Division Soccer fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. CA Penarol Montevideo's 61.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Cerro Largo FC's 14.8 is far from negligible — competitive Primera Division fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC: CA Penarol Montevideo to win is the percentage-backed selection at 61.6. The draw at 23.5 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Cerro Largo FC at 14.8 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC

Match: CA Penarol Montevideo vs Cerro Largo FC

Sport: Soccer

Country: Uruguay

League: Primera Division

Favourite: CA Penarol Montevideo (61.6)

Draw Chance: 23.5

Underdog: Cerro Largo FC (14.8)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

1 1.49
X 3.90
2 6.20

11

1 1.15
2 4.50

10

9 1.12
10 1.22
11 2.40