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Australia vs Italy

Australia Australia 2.05
VS
Sun, Jul 26
06:30 CET
draw
6.20
Italy Italy 2.25
Win Probability implied from market odds
44.6%
Australia
2.05
14.7%
Draw
6.20
40.6%
Italy
2.25

Australia are the favourites based on current odds.

Highest Possible Win

Draw odds offer the highest possible win at 6.20 odds. If you bet $100 on Draw you can win $$620.00.

Safest Bet

Betting on Australia (Home team) is the safest option with odds at 2.05. If you bet $100 you can potentially win $205.00.

Betting Prediction

Australia vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips | World Cup Water Polo being played on Sunday, Jul 26 at 06:30

Australia vs Italy – World Cup Match Prediction

International | World Cup | Water Polo

Ahead of this World Cup fixture, our prediction model has analysed recent form, head-to-head data, and performance metrics to generate the following win probabilities for Australia vs Italy.

Outcome: Australia Win | Probability: 44.6

Outcome: Draw | Probability: 14.7

Outcome: Italy Win | Probability: 40.6

Who Is Favoured between Australia vs Italy?

Our model gives Australia the edge in this Water Polo match, with a 44.6 probability of claiming all three points. Italy are rated as the underdog at 40.6, while there remains a 14.7 chance that neither side manages to separate themselves on the day.

In Water Polo, a draw probability of 14.7 is considered {draw_label}. Despite Australia holding the statistical advantage, this remains an open contest and the underdog should not be written off.

What's Driving the Prediction?

Prediction models for World Cup Water Polo fixtures weigh a range of factors including recent form across all competitions, home and away performance records, defensive and attacking output metrics, injury and squad availability data, and historical patterns in this competition.

These inputs combine to produce the win probabilities shown above. Australia's 44.6 rating reflects an overall stronger statistical profile entering this match. That said, Italy's 40.6 is far from negligible — competitive World Cup fixtures rarely follow the script, and an upset remains very much on the table.

Betting Angles to Consider

Based on the model output for Australia vs Italy: Australia to win is the percentage-backed selection at 44.6. The draw at 14.7 may carry value if the odds on offer reflect a closer contest than the market expects. Italy at 40.6 could represent an interesting underdog play depending on available odds.

Please bet responsibly. These probabilities are model-generated estimates, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.

Quick Match Summary between Australia vs Italy

Match: Australia vs Italy

Sport: Water Polo

Country: International

League: World Cup

Favourite: Australia (44.6)

Draw Chance: 14.7

Underdog: Italy (40.6)

Disclaimer: Betting involves risk. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Odds are subject to change. Please gamble responsibly.

All Odds

1

X 6.20
2 2.25
1 2.05

10

11 1.77
10 1.06
9 1.47